Evolution of the System Planet Earth -

Musing over a new Frontier of Research in the Earth Sciences

 

After the International Symposium on “Challenges for Earth Sciences in the 21st Century” Karlsruhe, 18-21 April 2002

 

K. Fuchs, Karlsruhe

 

The Panel Discussion on education requirements in the Earth sciences during the symposium touched many problems of curricula reform, decreasing number of students, etc…

 

There was also the demand that Earth sciences should become more useful to civilization.

 

I am convinced that this is the wrong approach! When I once challenged a leading astronomer: “How is your discipline getting the enormous funds for the Hubble telescope, and even for its repairs with the shuttle missions although you are completely useless to civilization?” he replied: “Yes you are right. We are useless, as useless as a Beethoven Symphony!”

 

We did not choose Earth sciences as our discipline to be useful for the society! We entered this field for many reasons. We were drawn into the various facets of this natural laboratory “Planet Earth” and the surprises of the unknown. It is the fascination of a scientific discipline which is attracting the best of today`s students.

 

Where is today`s frontier of research in the Earth sciences? My concern is the fragmentation of the Earth sciences in its various disciplines - which excel on its own - widely unaware of the new development in neighbouring disciplines, in spite of Plate tectonics and the Wegenerian revolution in the 1960ies. The successes in the various disciplines are impressive and they are necessary.

 

And yet, we might be missing the real frontier of research in today’s Earth sciences. After the symposium I claim that it is “Our Planet as the largest complex system on Earth”. It is the study of the Evolution of the Planet Earth as a comprehensive complex system with numerous interactions of its parts on a broad spectrum of scales in space and time. Earth sciences at large (including e. g. meteorology, oceanography, hydrology, space sciences) have now the fascinating opportunity and challenge to grasp the evolution of this planet as a system. We are living on a thin veneer at the continent/ocean to air interface of the planet which forms the foundation of life and civilization. It is highly vulnerable by processes in the Earth’s interior, in its exterior and on top by civilization itself which in turn depends on the life saving future of this veneer. - At the same time we are, sometimes painfully, aware of the existing limitations of our “early” warning systems in many fields and on many time scales (e. g., earthquake and volcano hazards, weather, climate, floods, sea-level changes, global warming, El Niñho, soil erosion, droughts, famine ).

 

The youngest step is the role of humankind as a geological factor on many scales from weather through climate to the long-term evolution and mass re-deposition in all states of aggregates. Nowhere in geological history have the rates of mass transport at the Earth’s surface been larger than during the time of our civilization; and it is accelerating with considerable effects on biosphere and climate.

 

We are forced by a new explosion in observational capabilities to leave our disciplinary pockets. During the last decades high-tech advancement in multi-channel sensors have provided the Earth sciences with observational data at an ever increasing rate, not anticipated during the Wegenerian revolution, e. g. real-time monitoring of plate velocities; tomography of mass displacement in the Earth interior. Data streams from satellites, research vessels, deep scientific drilling on land and sea. At the same time the rapid advancement of computer technology was the prerequisite for a successful analysis of these new data and for the development of realistic, highly sophisticated, testable models.

 

Exploring the evolution of this complex system, its past, presence and predicting and even to a certain degree steering its future development is a fascinating task for the best of young students in the Earth sciences, but also from mathematics, physics, chemistry, civil engineers and life sciences.